Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#229
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#287
Pace74.8#56
Improvement-1.4#256

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#266
First Shot-1.4#225
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#311
Layup/Dunks+3.9#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#313
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement-2.6#294

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot-1.2#207
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#102
Layups/Dunks-0.3#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#291
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement+1.2#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 5.00.0 - 7.0
Quad 31.0 - 5.01.0 - 12.0
Quad 47.0 - 9.08.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 311   @ Tennessee St. W 83-67 59%     1 - 0 +9.6 +2.0 +6.5
  Nov 16, 2018 26   @ Nevada L 59-87 4%     1 - 1 -11.8 -10.6 +1.1
  Nov 19, 2018 121   @ Tulsa L 78-88 17%     1 - 2 -3.6 -0.4 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2018 318   Howard W 97-76 79%     2 - 2 +8.7 +0.6 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-75 81%     2 - 3 -22.4 -12.7 -9.7
  Nov 28, 2018 303   @ Central Arkansas L 65-78 57%     2 - 4 -18.8 -17.1 -0.6
  Dec 01, 2018 177   Sam Houston St. W 79-52 49%     3 - 4 +23.3 +7.8 +17.3
  Dec 04, 2018 158   Bradley L 62-68 44%     3 - 5 -8.4 -7.9 -0.7
  Dec 08, 2018 303   Central Arkansas L 82-85 76%     3 - 6 -14.3 +2.0 -16.3
  Dec 19, 2018 58   @ Memphis L 89-99 9%     3 - 7 +1.1 +5.9 -3.0
  Dec 22, 2018 76   @ Georgetown L 94-102 OT 11%     3 - 8 +1.2 +1.2 +2.0
  Jan 03, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 84-97 21%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -8.6 +7.6 -16.0
  Jan 05, 2019 178   @ Louisiana L 61-75 29%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -12.1 -14.5 +2.6
  Jan 10, 2019 249   Troy W 73-59 66%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +5.9 -7.0 +12.6
  Jan 12, 2019 214   South Alabama W 91-62 56%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +23.4 +11.2 +11.2
  Jan 17, 2019 138   @ Texas St. L 62-80 20%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -13.0 -6.1 -6.7
  Jan 19, 2019 150   @ Texas Arlington L 73-82 23%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -5.2 +2.4 -7.3
  Jan 24, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina L 71-72 48%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -4.4 -2.8 -1.6
  Jan 26, 2019 201   Appalachian St. L 73-77 55%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -9.3 -12.5 +3.6
  Feb 02, 2019 248   Arkansas St. L 83-84 66%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -9.1 -3.1 -5.9
  Feb 07, 2019 249   @ Troy W 84-70 45%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +11.4 +10.2 +1.5
  Feb 09, 2019 214   @ South Alabama W 73-68 35%     7 - 15 4 - 7 +4.9 -4.2 +8.9
  Feb 14, 2019 150   Texas Arlington W 56-52 41%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +2.3 -6.5 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2019 138   Texas St. L 60-67 37%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -7.6 -3.0 -5.4
  Feb 23, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. L 65-72 45%     8 - 17 5 - 9 -9.6 -10.9 +1.3
  Feb 28, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern L 66-81 15%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -8.0 -3.5 -4.7
  Mar 02, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. L 70-83 16%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -6.3 -4.7 -0.8
  Mar 07, 2019 178   Louisiana L 72-77 49%     8 - 20 5 - 12 -8.7 -8.0 -0.4
  Mar 09, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe L 62-79 39%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -18.2 -15.8 -2.5
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%